Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Taylor Swift concert in the next 5 years??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 98.8% al 1 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Taylor Swift concert in the next 5 years??

Taylor Swift concert in the next 5 years? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2030.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This will end at the end of the year 2030.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

Sì 98.8%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 1 ora fa

In ritardo

5 mag 25, 22:59 UTC31 dic 30, 23:59 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This will end at the end of the year 2030.

Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The market resolves based on whether Taylor Swift performs at least one concert before the market closes.
Update 2025-05-05 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): A performance qualifies as a concert if:
It is scheduled by Taylor Swift herself.
She is the main artist (e.g., as part of a tour).
Performances where she is not the main artist (e.g., Super Bowl halftime show, award shows, guest appearances) do not count.