Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.5%
Previsori
44
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
16 mag 25, 17:34 UTC31 dic 28, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Fetterman leaves the Democrats by which date?
PolymarketWhich party wins 2028 election?
Manifold MarketsWill John Fetterman leave the Democratic party?
KalshiWill John Fetterman Leave the Democratic Party Before the 2026 Midterms?
Manifold MarketsWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by Sept. 30?
PredictItWill Fetterman leave the Democratic Party by June 30?
PredictItRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Senator John Fetterman officially changes his party affiliation from the Democratic Party to any other party or to Independent before the conclusion of the 2028 United States presidential election.
- The change must be publicly announced and reflected in official records, such as the U.S. Senate's party affiliation listings.
- If no such change occurs by the date of the 2028 election, the market will resolve to "No."
- Senator John Fetterman, representing Pennsylvania, has been a member of the Democratic Party throughout his political career.
- In early 2025, speculation arose regarding a potential party switch due to his collaborations with Republican figures and support for certain policies aligned with the GOP.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+2.6pt38.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Renan Santos-0.1pt2%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 75% al 10 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election??
- Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.
- Come viene liquidato Sen. Fetterman leaves Democratic Party before 2028 election??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria