Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 66.9%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto3 gen 26, 06:07 UTC14 nov 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the Democrats Outperform their 2018 Midterm Results? [Win more than 235 seats in 2026]
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketBrazil Presidential Election
Polymarket2028 Democratic presidential nominee
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.
- He is running against a different candidate, Pete Ricketts, this time though. 2026 is also expected to favor the democrats, though Osborn is an independent and has refused the Democratic endorsement.
- The market will resolve to YES if Dan Osborn receives more than the 46.52% of the vote he got in 2024.
- It is NOT based on margin of victory or loss, just voteshare
Mercati aperti
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
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- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Osborn outperforms his 2024 results? dovrebbe risolversi il 14 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Osborn outperforms his 2024 results??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Dan Osborn is running for Senate in Nebraska again in 2026, and is once again expected to make it a relatively close race in a deep red state.