Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 50%
Previsori
3
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
29 ott 26, 07:54 UTC8 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
New Zealand Election: 3rd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketNew Zealand Election: Turnout
PolymarketFollowing the 2026 New Zealand election, which parties will be represented in parliament?
Manifold MarketsThe Opportunities Party elected in 2026 New Zealand election?
Manifold MarketsNew Zealand Election 2nd Place (Polymarket)
Manifold MarketsRegole
A general election is scheduled to be held in New Zealand on November 7, 2026.
- This market will resolve to “Yes” if either of the following groups of parties wins a combined total of more than half of the seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives as a result of this election: (a) Labour, Greens, and Te Pāti Māori; or (b) National, ACT, and New Zealand First.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named parties in the New Zealand House of Representatives.
- This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
