Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 67.4%
Previsori
7
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto10 set 25, 04:02 UTC31 dic 39, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Who will lead India after Narendra Modi leaves power?
Manifold MarketsWill Narendra Modi be Prime Minister of India after 2029 election?
Manifold MarketsWho will win Uttar Pradesh State Elections held in Jan - March 2027?
Manifold MarketsModi out by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketYoon out of custody before 2027?
PolymarketLee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, by 23:59 Nepal Time (UTC+5:45) on December 31, 2039, Nepal has officially restored a monarchy with a king or queen as head of state, evidenced by either:
- A constitutional amendment or formal proclamation published in the Nepal Gazette (Nepal Rajpatra), or
- The official text of the Constitution updated to designate a monarch as head of state (e.g., on WIPO Lex or an official government publication).
- Non‑binding proposals, party statements, protests, or unofficial “oaths” do not count.
- If sources conflict, prioritize the Nepal Gazette or an updated official constitution text.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 67% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040??
- Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2039.
- Come viene liquidato Nepalese monarchy restored before 2040??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria