Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 05:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 97%
Previsori
10
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto17 mag 26, 01:14 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei finish his first term as the president of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei serve a full term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Javier Milei be reelected for a second term as the President of Argentina?
Manifold MarketsWill Karina Milei leave the office of Argentina’s Secretary General of the Presidency in 2026?
FutuurTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Javier Milei ceases to be the President of Argentina for any period of time by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- An announcement of Javier Milei's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
- The resolution source for this market will be the government of Argentina, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.
