Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 89.8%
Previsori
26
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
Obsoleto24 nov 25, 21:29 UTC4 nov 26, 10:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Speaker Mike Johnson send the House members home early before midterms?
Manifold MarketsMike Johnson out as Speaker by which date?
PolymarketMike Johnson out as Speaker of the House?
KalshiWill Mike Johnson remain Speaker of the House through the 2026 US Midterm elections?
FutuurWho will be the next Republican Speaker/Minority Leader after Mike Johnson?
Manifold MarketsWill Mike Johnson be removed as Speaker before 2027?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.
- There is speculation Republican members will retire mid term and this will result in Mike Johnson no longer having a majority.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 90% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026??
- Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 4 novembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Mike Johnson gone as House speaker before Nov 3 2026??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will Resolve YES if at any point before Nov 3 2026 Mike Johnson is no longer speaker.