Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 64.8%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto30 ott 23, 21:36 UTC2 gen 30, 01:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWill the next female Prime Minister of the UK be from the Labour party?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump say he “forgives” the UK Labour Party, Keir Starmer or in any reference to them?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Sweden
PolymarketNext Prime Minister of Romania?
PolymarketRegole
Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/5414/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the UK Prime Minister on January 1, 2030 is a member of the Labour Party.
- Otherwise, the question resolves negatively.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 65% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030??
- [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato [Metaculus] Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?