Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 64.8%
Previsori
20
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 52 minuti fa
In ritardo30 ott 23, 21:36 UTC2 gen 30, 01:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the Prime Minister on January 1st 2030 be Labour?
Manifold MarketsHow many seats will the UK Labour Party win at the next general election?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the UK Prime Minister on 1 January 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will be the next Labour prime minister of New Zealand?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?
KalshiNext Prime Minister of Spain?
PolymarketRegole
Will the UK have a Labour Prime Minister on January 1, 2030?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- (https://www.metaculus.com/questions/question_embed/5414/?theme=dark)Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the UK Prime Minister on January 1, 2030 is a member of the Labour Party.
- Otherwise, the question resolves negatively.
- Fine print and additional background information can be found on Metaculus.
