Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 55.4%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto19 gen 26, 00:56 UTC30 giu 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Which major US health insurer will first mention tobacco harm reduction--by vaping or pouch use--in enrollee materials?
Manifold MarketsBrightSpring Health prescriptions filled in fiscal 2026
KalshiBrightSpring Health home health average daily census in fiscal 2026
KalshiWhat will be true about Trump's tariff dividend? ("stimulus check")
Manifold MarketsWill a Democratic Senator say something positive about Trump's death within 24 hours of it happening?
Manifold MarketsWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRegole
There will be a revelation, confirmed by the Trump camp, on a negative health situation / prognosis / etc for Trump by June 30 2027 eod
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 55% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027?
- Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 30 giugno 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Major revelation about Trump's health, negative, by mid 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: There will be a revelation, confirmed by the Trump camp, on a negative health situation / prognosis / etc for Trump by June 30 2027 eod