Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.6%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 ore fa
Obsoleto8 lug 26, 20:24 UTC31 dic 99, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Macron vs Owens: Who wins the defamation lawsuit?
MyriadMacron out by which date?
PolymarketBrigitte Macron wins defamation suit against Candace Owens before 2028?
KalshiWho will be the next president of France after Macron?
Manifold MarketsMacron leads EU before 2040?
Manifold MarketsIf a Macron-backed candidate fails to be elected president in 2027, will a far-right candidate win?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Emmanuel Macron is officially sworn in as the President of the United States of America.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to NO.
- For the purposes of this market:
- Identification: "Emmanuel Macron" refers to the French politician born on December 21, 1977, who has served as the President of the French Republic.
- Office: "President of the United States" is defined as the head of the executive branch of the federal government of the United States, as established under Article II of the Constitution of the United States.
Mercati aperti
Corporate ActionsPOLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,-5.5pt71%
- December 15,+4.0pt65%
- November 30,-5.5pt45%
+7 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 3,2 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 68,3K €
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.0–$2.25T-0.4pt25.3%
- $2.25–$2.5T-5.0pt20%
- $1.75–$2.0T-3.0pt16.8%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- ↑$1.25T+1.3pt100%
- ↑$1.1T+3.6pt100%
- ↑$1.0T+2.4pt100%
+10 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWho will be removed from Chinese Military Companies list by June 30, 2027?
- CATL-13.0pt34%
- Baidu-14.0pt34%
- Tencent32%
+7 altri esiti
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+1.0pt91%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+3.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt85%
+9 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill GameStop acquire eBay?
- No+1.0pt93.1%
- Yes-1.0pt6.9%
- Volume totale
- 2,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 13,3K €
- When will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first?
- Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?
- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?
- Which companies will officially announce an IPO this year?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- NuScale announces bankruptcy by which date?
- What will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- IPOs before 2027?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Lower Brackets)
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Macron president by 2100?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 93% al 20 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Macron president by 2100?
- Macron president by 2100 dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2099.
- Come viene liquidato Macron president by 2100?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution criteria