Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 51%
Previsori
9
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto20 mar 25, 06:05 UTC2 gen 27, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Trump gets laid next by
Manifold MarketsTrump gets impeached by January 20, 2029
Manifold MarketsTrump gets ANOTHER uk state visit before the end of his second term
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketRegole
It must be publicly revealed that Kai Trump gets a boyfriend or significant other by Jan 8, 2027 00:00 GMT*
- Here is what would count as dating:
- •Both parties claim or confirm that they are/were
- OR one party claims they were, with significant corroboration by mutuals
- •At least 3 credible media sources confirm a romantic relationship with clear language
- ^Credible: rated “high” in factual reporting by https://mediabiasfactcheck.com/
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027?
- Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027 dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Kai Trump gets a Boyfriend (or SO) by 2027?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: It must be publicly revealed that Kai Trump gets a boyfriend or significant other by Jan 8, 2027 00:00 GMT*