Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 96.3%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 1 ora fa
In ritardo24 set 25, 21:15 UTC1 gen 29, 22:13 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
James Comey sentenced to Prison in 2026?
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PolymarketWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
KalshiWill James Comey’s criminal case be dismissed?
LimitlessWill Hasan Piker be indicted for a federal crime before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (aka AOC) be charged with a federal crime by February 1, 2029?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolution criteria
- Resolves YES if, before market close, a U.S. federal district court enters a signed judgment of conviction against James B. Comey (born 1960) for any federal criminal offense (felony or misdemeanor), whether by guilty plea (including nolo contendere) or by guilty verdict.
- Acceptable evidence: (a) the judgment on the federal docket (PACER) or a mirror via CourtListener/RECAP; or (b) a DOJ press release that explicitly states he was convicted and identifies the case.
- Rule 32(k) defines “judgment of conviction.” (pacer.uscourts.gov)
- Resolves NO if no such federal conviction is entered by market close.
- Indictments, informations, complaints, arrests, congressional referrals, civil matters, and any state or local convictions do not count.