Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 74.5%
Previsori
31
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto6 feb 24, 15:59 UTC1 gen 00, 15:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
OpenAI discovers room-temperature superconductor before EOY?
Manifold MarketsIs rationalussy the secret ingredient to a room temperature superconductor?
Manifold MarketsWill strong AGI be achieved before we discover a room temperature superconductor like LK-99?
Manifold MarketsIf the Room-Temperature Superconductor is not real, will calculating a 2048-bit RSA Key Cost <$1000 in 2030?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiHighest temperature in Los Angeles on Oct 18, 2026?
KalshiRegole
I find it interesting that both are basically computational problems - simulating plasma physics or material science.
- This market resolves true if a room temperature superconductor is officially found (and recognized by the scientific community) before a company manages to achieve net fusion energy production.
- If the opposite happens, the outcome is false.
- N/A if neither happens in this century.
