Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 73.6%
Previsori
63
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto8 nov 24, 16:56 UTC16 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Things named after Trump or named by Trump after America are renamed during the first year of Trump out of office?
Manifold MarketsPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
PolymarketUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
Kalshi2028 Republican presidential nominee
KalshiRegole
Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
- Market will Resolve YES if there is capacity for the detention of 30,000 people in 3 or fewer actively used concentration camps / detention centers (so a 25k person facility + a 5k person one would qualify, as would 3x 10k people facilities).
- Resolves NO when Trump is no longer president (following his 2025 inauguration), or N/A if he doesn’t have a second term.
- For reference:
- During the US’s WWII Japanese internment, 120,000 people were interned in 10 camps.
- The current three largest active detention centers in the US have a capacity of ~6,600, so this would be a nearly 5x growth in capacity for the mass detention of people.
Mercati aperti
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
- NJ-07 House winner?
- Rhode Island Democratic Governor nominee?
- IA-01 House winner?
- Which states will redistrict before the midterms?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
- What will Trump say during RNC Convention (Night 2)?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Internment Camps in Trump’s America??
- Manifold Markets quota Yes al 74% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Internment Camps in Trump’s America??
- Internment Camps in Trump’s America? dovrebbe risolversi il 16 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Internment Camps in Trump’s America??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president?