Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 72.2%
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63
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 54 minuti fa
In ritardo8 nov 24, 16:56 UTC16 gen 29, 07:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Will there be internment camps in the USA while Donald Trump is president?
- Market will Resolve YES if there is capacity for the detention of 30,000 people in 3 or fewer actively used concentration camps / detention centers (so a 25k person facility + a 5k person one would qualify, as would 3x 10k people facilities).
- Resolves NO when Trump is no longer president (following his 2025 inauguration), or N/A if he doesn’t have a second term.
- For reference:
- During the US’s WWII Japanese internment, 120,000 people were interned in 10 camps.
- The current three largest active detention centers in the US have a capacity of ~6,600, so this would be a nearly 5x growth in capacity for the mass detention of people.