If Trump wins, will there be more than 2 million illegal border crossings in the US-Mexico border in FY 2026?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioneAmerica Latina3gManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 92.7%
Previsori
24
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 minuti fa
9 mar 24, 22:33 UTC31 ott 26, 06:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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FutuurRegole
The resolution source is the Southwest Land Border Encounters series by the US border Patrol.
- [image]If Trump does not win the US 2024 elections, this market resolves N/A. I will use the number shown on the site upon release of the data for all of FY 2025.
- Note that it appears that this dataset does get updated retroactively.
- The earliest available data will be used (excluding projections)
- Partner market for Biden:
