If Trump wins the 2024 US presidential election, will cannabis be decriminalized or legalized by the midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffSalute e medicinaPolitica USAElezione9g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 21:13 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 86.8%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 3 ore fa
Obsoleto10 mar 24, 09:51 UTC4 nov 26, 04:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential elections AND a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by Tuesday, November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves NO if Donald Trump is elected president in the 2024 presidential election AND no federal laws are enacted that legalize cannabis or remove criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use by November 3rd, 2026.
- Resolves N/A if Donald Trump is not elected president in 2024 or if a federal law is enacted that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for the possession of cannabis for personal use prior to the election on November 5th, 2024.
- Sister market:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/Athena/if-biden-wins-the-2024-us-president)Update 2025-09-03 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - For this market, "federal law enacted" is interpreted broadly: any nationwide decision that legalizes cannabis or removes criminal penalties for personal possession will resolve YES.
- Examples that qualify (must apply nationwide):
