Previsione della comunità attuale
Lucy Powell 34%
Previsori
4
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto23 set 25, 13:07 UTC1 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
34%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
IF Andy Burnham leads Labour into the next General Election, will Labour win?
Manifold MarketsIf this person is the leader of the Labour Party going into the next UK election after 2024, will the PM be Labour?
Manifold MarketsWill the person who is next elected US President for the first time be over 70?
Manifold MarketsNZ Election: Labour Party # of seats?
PolymarketNZ election: Labour v National (% of Party List Vote)
PolymarketHolborn and St Pancras By-Election - Labour to Win
SmarketsRegole
Resolves N/A for all people who didn't become deputy leader of the Labour party following the 2025 Labour Party deputy leadership election, and for the remaining option at whether the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour Party.
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7K €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 183,4 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3K €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour??
- Manifold Markets quota Lucy Powell al 34% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour??
- If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato If this person is elected Deputy Leader of Labour in 2025, will the PM after the next general election be Labour??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves N/A for all people who didn't become deputy leader of the Labour party following the 2025 Labour Party deputy leadership election, and for the remaining option at whether the PM after the next election is a member of the Labour Party.