If the Texas GOP succeeds in redistricting, will they gain seats in the midterms?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezioni di metà mandato USA 2026Elezione11g
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeSì 60.9%
Previsori
36
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto21 lug 25, 11:15 UTC8 nov 26, 12:14 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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PolymarketRegole
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by November 3, 2026, the Texas Legislature enacts new congressional district maps AND gains seats in Congress.
- The market will resolve “No” if the Texas Legislature enacts new congressional maps, but loses seats or maintains the same number.
- The market will resolve to "NA" if no such redistricting occurs by that date.
- In July 2025, President Donald Trump urged Texas Republicans to redraw the state's congressional maps to create five additional GOP-favored districts, aiming to bolster the party's majority in the U.S. House ahead of the 2026 midterm elections.
- Governor Greg Abbott responded by adding redistricting to a special legislative session agenda.
