Previsione della comunità attuale
Adam Back 34.7%In testa tra 10 esiti
Adam Back 34.7%Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 ore fa
ObsoletoTrend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be revealed before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill the identity of Satoshi Nakamoto be known before 2035?
Manifold MarketsSatoshi's identity be proven by which date?
PolymarketWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin before 2027?
KalshiRegole
If Satoshi is definitively proven to be one of the people listed, that person will resolve yes.
- Otherwise, that person will resolve no.
- If Satoshi is revealed to be the named outcome, that option will resolve yes, and all the others - even if those others were part of the group - will resolve no.
- If Satoshi got occasional help, or occasionally gave another person account access, that will not be sufficient for other to resolve to yes.
- However, constant writing code together and constant and continuous sharing of account credentials will count.