If a US citizen is deported before 2029, will they be returned to the US before 2029?
One-OffPolitica USA2aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:26 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeSì 67.7%
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11
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 12 ore fa
Obsoleto15 apr 25, 04:10 UTC15 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
Resolves N/A if no U.S. citizens are deported before 2029 (however, see below).
- Resolves YES if any U.S. citizen is deported before 2029, and they return to the U.S. in any capacity before 2029.
- Otherwise, resolves NO.
- I will apply the same caveats (e.g. involving denaturalization) as https://manifold.markets/Gabrielle/will-the-us-deport-an-american-citi ; this market will resolve N/A if and only if that market resolves NO.
- To clarify — if more than one U.S. citizen is deported from the U.S. before 2029, this will resolve YES if at least one of them is returned before 2029, and no otherwise.
- I may trade in this market.