Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 17:45 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNever 87.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
69
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto19 ago 23, 00:15 UTC1 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsWill Robert Lichfield serve time in prison before the end of 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.
- What counts?
- Prison, jail or the named outcome pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
- Prison, jail or the named outcome post-conviction counts.
- Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
- It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his sentence begins.
