Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNever 91.9%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
67
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 7 ore fa
Obsoleto19 ago 23, 00:15 UTC1 feb 29, 04:59 UTC
Trend
0.1%
0.1%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
In which years will Trump Serve Time? [Unlinked Multiple Choice]
Manifold MarketsTrump to serve his full term?
FutuurWill Donald Trump ever serve time in prison?
Manifold MarketsWhen will Trump serve time?
Manifold MarketsTrump To Serve Second Term In Full
SmarketsDonald Trump to serve as president for 9+ years by end of 2030
SmarketsRegole
Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.
- What counts?
- Prison, jail or the named outcome pre-conviction does not, must be serving a sentence.
- Prison, jail or the named outcome post-conviction counts.
- Community service, probation, and other non-custodial sentences do not count.
- It does not count if he is pardoned or otherwise granted clemency before his sentence begins.
Mercati aperti
Politics
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- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
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+49 altri esiti
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POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
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- Next French Presidential Election
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
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- NJ-07 House winner?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How will Trump serve time??
- Manifold Markets quota Never al 92% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How will Trump serve time??
- How will Trump serve time? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 febbraio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato How will Trump serve time??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolves based on day that his custodial sentence starts, or "never" if he dies without serving a custodial sentence.