Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale10+ 50%In testa tra 4 esiti
Previsori
1
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 minuti fa
12 lug 26, 22:4119 lug 26, 3:59
Trend
Solo fondi simulati, nessun denaro realeNon è consulenza finanziaria
Esito scelto
10+50%
Trend del volume
$20012 lug2g di dati13 lug
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How to sign up: go to the tournament page, hit Join, and enter your Manifold username — before July 18, 23:59 ET.
- Each "N+" answer resolves YES if the participant count on the tournament page is at least N when signups close July 18, and NO otherwise — each threshold resolves independently (e.g. 30 signups resolves 10+ and 25+ YES, 50+ and 100+ NO).
- Host reserves the right to exclude troll signups (spam accounts, obvious sockpuppets, signups made just to game this market) from the count.
- Note this market is self-referential: signing up moves its own answer.
- 🏆 This market is part of The Introductory Tournaments Tournament, the first-ever tournament on Manifold Tournaments — an unofficial site for running tournaments on top of Manifold markets.
- Rankings are by total profit across the tournament's markets, computed live on the tournament page.