How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail?
PoliticaManifold MarketsChiusoSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: 7 - 29 nights (<1 month)
Risolto: 10 nov 2025, 16:42
Dati di risoluzione non verificati
Questo esito è inferito o non supportato da prove di regolamento di livello provider.
Previsione della comunità attuale7 - 29 nights (<1 month) 100%In testa tra 7 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 165 giorni fa
Obsoleto2 ott 25, 23:0310 nov 25, 16:42
Cronologia delle Probabilità
0 nights0%
1 night0%
2 - 6 nights (<1 week)0%
7 - 29 nights (<1 month)100%
30 - 364 nights (1 - 11 months)0%
1 - 2 years0%
More than 2 years0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Regole
On September 25, 2025, former French President Nicolas Sarkozy was sentenced to 5 years in prison for criminal conspiracy in the Libyan campaign financing case.
- The court issued a deferred detention order with provisional execution, meaning he will be imprisoned despite his appeal.
- He is scheduled to appear before prosecutors on October 13, 2025 to receive his incarceration date (which must occur by February 13, 2026 at the latest).
- Once imprisoned, he can request release pending appeal, with courts having 2 months to decide.
- Key sources:
- - [CNN: Sarkozy sentenced to 5 years](https://www.cnn.com/2025/09/25/europe/sarkozy-trial-libya-verdict-intl)
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Jon Ossoff16.2%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt15.2%
+44 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 160,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 845,4K €
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham+2.0pt64.2%
- Ralph Norman-4.0pt27.5%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 11,5 Mln €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez18%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.2pt14%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva62.8%
- Flávio Bolsonaro32.4%
- Renan Santos+0.2pt4.9%
+29 altri esiti
- Volume totale
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance20%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Marco Rubio+0.4pt12%
+125 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 591,1 Mln €
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance-1.0pt45.3%
- Marco Rubio-3.0pt21.1%
- Ron DeSantis-0.2pt5.3%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 50,3 Mln €
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Next French Presidential Election
- What will Trump say during his rally with Darline Graham?
- Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
- Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail??
- Manifold Markets quota 7 - 29 nights (<1 month) al 100% al 9 marzo 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail??
- How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail? dovrebbe risolversi il 10 novembre 2025.
- Come viene liquidato How many nights will Sarkozy spend in jail??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: On September 25, 2025, former French President Nicolas Sarkozy was sentenced to 5 years in prison for criminal conspiracy in the Libyan campaign financing case.