Hong Kong to change its HK$ peg away from USD by end of 2026?
One-OffValuteGeopoliticaRussia / UcrainaMacro ed economiaCina2mManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 24 ott 2026, 15:22 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 94.5%
Previsori
43
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 11 ore fa
Obsoleto3 ago 24, 07:21 UTC31 dic 26, 12:59 UTC
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ForecastExRegole
Recently there have been efforts by countries including China to move away from the USD as the global reserve currency, especially given the great power the US has in order to sanction Russia.
- Hong Kong currently pegs the Hong Kong Dollar (HKD) to a band to the US Dollar (USD) only.
- This market resolves to YES if by the end of 2026, Hong Kong changes its peg to another currency (the Chinese Yuan, Euro, or other), or if it changes its peg to a basket of currencies (even if that basket contains the USD).
- If the peg is removed, and the HKD freely floats, this market resolves to YES.
- If Hong Kong changes the peg, but it remains as a peg to the USD and only the USD, that does NOT count as resolving the market to YES.
- If the peg remains on USD until the end of 2026, this market resolves to NO.
