Global catastrophe series: By 2100, will the human population decrease by at least 10% during any period of 5 years?
One-OffSocietà e culturaManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 27 ott 2026, 03:40 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 66.7%
Previsori
17
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato ieri
Obsoleto21 lug 23, 00:27 UTC2 gen 00, 04:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
This question will resolve as Yes if before 2100, the human population (on Earth, and possibly elsewhere) decreases by at least 10% in any period of 5 years or less.
- Years are here defined as consecutive calendar years.
- Resovles the same as https://www.metaculus.com/questions/1493/global-population-decline-10-by-2100/
- [link preview]
