Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoAvviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 25 ott 2026, 19:55 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attualeNo 74.5%
Previsori
15
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto3 mag 24, 10:33 UTC5 mar 34, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Full VR Brain Computer Interface before 2033?
Manifold MarketsFull VR Brain Computer Interface before 2032?
Manifold MarketsFull VR Brain Computer Interface before 2031?
Manifold MarketsWill I be using a brain-computer interface in my daily life by 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we get AGI before 2028?
Manifold MarketsRegole
Resolves as YES if it is possible for the median consumer to purchase a brain computer interface (BCI) that enables them to experience VR indistinguishable from the real world before January 1st 2034.
- In order for this question to resolve as YES, such a device must be available for purchase (or free) for at least 90% of adult consumers in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-93569dad097d
- @/RemNi/full-vr-brain-computer-interface-be-d17e1e9eef9b
