Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 51%
Previsori
6
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ago 26, 04:07 UTC31 dic 29, 23:59 UTC
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Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will the US Unemployment Rate Exceed Dotcom Bubble Levels before 2030?
Manifold MarketsUs market crash in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill AI cause a financial crash within a decade? (By Oct 2032)
Manifold MarketsAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketWhich bubble bursts first?
MyriadLargest Company end of December 2026?
PolymarketRegole
The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.
- Resolves yes if the S&P drops 25.4% or more over a period of a year or less before 2030.
- Only closing prices count.
Mercati aperti
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.3pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 104,6K €
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.8%
- 8,000 to 8,199.9914.9%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9911.2%
+24 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 5,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 79,6K €
KALSHIBoeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Above 56095%
- Above 580-1.0pt90%
- Above 60086%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 185,8K €
- Volume 24h
- 33,7K €
POLYMARKETLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Anthropic+0.5pt58.8%
- SpaceX-3.5pt39.2%
- OpenAI+0.1pt2.1%
+9 altri esiti
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt16.5%
- 30,000 to 30,499.99+1.0pt7.2%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-2.0pt6.2%
+27 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhat will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- ↓ $182+8.9pt100%
- ↓ $180+26.9pt100%
- ↓ $178+46.0pt100%
+17 altri esiti
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- STRC hits $100 by…
- How high will the Nikkei 225 get in 2026?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in September 2026?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030??
- Manifold Markets quota No al 51% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030??
- Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Faster S&P 500 Crash than the Dotcom Bubble before 2030??
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: The S&P 500 dropped 25.3% in one year from its peak of 1518 in August 2000 to 1134 in August 2001.