Elon Musk actually gifts a SpaceX share to every American child in 2027?
TecnologiaOne-OffSpazioOperazioni societarie1a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 59.5%
Previsori
120
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 39 minuti fa
19 ott 26, 20:35 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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Here's the context: Elon Musk (@elonmusk) on X
- Resolution details:
- They don't need to receive the money within 2027.
- If a consensus of credible reporting says that Musk has initiated the process within the calendar year of 2027, then I'll leave the market open and it can resolve once the money is received (even if that stretches beyond 2027).
- It needs to cover >90% of children (<5 years old at the start of 2027) who are American citizens during the year 2027.
- It is ok if a smaller % actually receive it (e.g., the parent has to put in some work to get it).