Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Elon elected to public office as America Party member??

Manifold Markets quota No al 98.1% al 26 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Elon elected to public office as America Party member??

Elon elected to public office as America Party member? dovrebbe risolversi il 31 dicembre 2028.

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Resolution Criteria

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati

Dati al 26 ott 2026, 02:41 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 98.1%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 15 ore fa

Obsoleto

6 lug 25, 19:05 UTC31 dic 28, 20:04 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

Resolution Criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, by December 31, 2028, Elon Musk is elected to any public office in the United States as a member of the America Party.
Verification will be based on official election results published by the Federal Election Commission (FEC) or relevant state election authorities.
On July 5, 2025, Elon Musk announced the formation of the America Party, citing dissatisfaction with existing political structures and fiscal policies.
The party aims to challenge the traditional two-party system and promote fiscal conservatism.
Musk has indicated plans to focus on key congressional seats in upcoming elections.