Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Early parliamentary elections in Poland?

Manifold Markets quota No al 95.2% al 2 novembre 2026.

Quando si risolve Early parliamentary elections in Poland?

Early parliamentary elections in Poland dovrebbe risolversi il 31 gennaio 2027.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 95.2%

Previsori

Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

Tipo di fonte

Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 8 ore fa

Obsoleto

6 giu 25, 01:53 UTC31 gen 27, 00:00 UTC

Trend

Esito24hProbabilità

Regole

This market predicts whether Poland will conduct early parliamentary elections before December 31, 2026.

The standard term for the Sejm is four years, with the next regular elections expected by November 2027.
However, early elections can be called under specific circumstances.
Resolution will be based on official announcements from the National Electoral Commission of Poland.