Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?

Manifold Markets quota No al 70.4% al 27 ottobre 2026.

Come viene liquidato Do Manifold users think that Model UN is dumb? (resolves end of 2026)?

Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 70.4%

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Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Previsione

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 53 minuti fa

In ritardo

28 lug 26, 04:56 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC

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I will open a yes/no poll titled "Is Model UN is dumb?" when this market closes (end of 2026).

The poll will go on for 10 days and the market will resolve to the majority's vote.
For context, Model UN stands for Model United Nations:
It's mostly a high school activity
Basically a simulation of the real United Nations where students, called "delegates" are each assigned a country to represent (roleplay...)
For each conference, a group of "delegates" (there are often hundreds of delegates per group) are assigned a topic to adress