Depending on whether Trump wins the election, will Bezos become even richer by 2029?
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USAElezione2a
Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%In testa tra 4 esiti
Trump wins, Bezos becomes richer 87.3%Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
+10.5 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto29 ott 24, 23:49 UTC1 gen 29, 22:59 UTC
Trend
Regole
For simplicity, Trump "loses" if he does not win the election and Bezos will be considered "richer" if Forbes estimates his net worth to be higher than $208.4 billion at any point during 2028; otherwise, he will be considered "poorer." This covers all possible outcomes, including unlikely ones.
- If Forbes is not in business anymore by 2028, an alternative credible estimate will be used.
- I will not bet in this market.
