Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA??

Manifold Markets quota Yes al 52.9% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Before January 1st, 2030, will any treatment for celiac disease be approved by the FDA?

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Sì 52.9%

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Aggiornato 9 ore fa

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13 ago 23, 21:17 UTC1 gen 30, 04:59 UTC

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This question will resolve as YES if any treatment for celiac disease successfully completes Phase 3 trials and is subsequently approved by the FDA.

If the process for drug approval changes between now and 2030 such that treatments do not follow the same trial process, this question will resolve as N/A. Otherwise, if the existing trials structure does not change and no treatment is approved, this question will resolve as NO.
Here is some additional information: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/06/01/well/celiac-disease-treatment.html