Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 87.8%
Previsori
22
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 8 ore fa
Obsoleto7 ago 25, 12:07 UTC1 gen 29, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Barack Obama participate in a rally for Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsBarack Obama or Hasan Piker, who will be seen next with Abdul El Sayed?
Manifold MarketsWill Barack Obama be alive on the day a human walks on Mars?
Manifold MarketsObama arrested before 2027?
PolymarketNothing Ever Happens: Obama
PolymarketObama federally charged before 2027?
PolymarketRegole
This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.
- Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
- However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
- This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.
Mercati aperti
Politics
KALSHINH-01 Democratic nominee?
- Stefany Shaheen+81.8pt100%
- Maura Sullivan-81.6pt0%
- Carleigh Beriont-2.7pt0%
- Volume totale
- 957,3K €
- Volume 24h
- 760,7K €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17.2%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-1.0pt13.1%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Volume 24h
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-3.0pt52.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.9pt45.5%
- Renan Santos1%
+16 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+2.0pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-1.3pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.6pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,2 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-0.2pt37.1%
- Édouard Philippe32%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon12.4%
+38 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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- Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- Manifold Markets quota No al 88% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.
- Come viene liquidato Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.