Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?

Manifold Markets quota No al 87.8% al 28 ottobre 2026.

Quando si risolve Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029?

Barack Obama arrested before January 1, 2029 dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2029.

Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibrato

Previsione della comunità attuale

No 87.8%

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Tipo di domanda

binary

Metodologia

Play-money forecasting platform

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Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 43 minuti fa

7 ago 25, 12:07 UTC1 gen 29, 23:59 UTC

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Esito24hProbabilità

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This market assesses the likelihood of former President Barack Obama being arrested on or before January 1, 2029.

Recent political developments have seen accusations and calls for legal action against Obama, including claims of treason and espionage.
However, as of August 7, 2025, no formal charges or arrests have been made.
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if credible reports from reputable news organizations confirm Obama's arrest by the specified date; otherwise, it will resolve to 'No'.