At any point before February 1, 2045, will there be a major third party in US politics? [read desc]
PoliticaOne-OffPolitica USA18aManifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 64%
Previsori
4
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binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
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Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
23 ago 24, 19:10 UTC2 feb 45, 05:59 UTC
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Resolves YES when, at any point prior to market close, any one political party besides the Republican Party or Democratic Party simultaneously has ≥25 points from the following sources:
- State governor - worth 8 points
- US Senator - worth 8 points
- US House rep - worth 3 points
- POTUS - worth 25 points
- For example, if the Green Party held 2 US Senate seats and 3 US House seats at the same time (8 + 8 + 3 + 3 + 3 = 25), this market would resolve YES.
