Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeNo 83.4%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Aggiornato 15 ore fa
Obsoleto12 apr 26, 01:24 UTC21 gen 31, 02:17 UTC
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Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will at least one woman walk on the Moon during the first landing of the Artemis program ?
Manifold MarketsWill China fake their first "lunar landing"?
Manifold MarketsWill SpaceX's Artemis refuelling launches have a 100% landing success rate?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the latitude of the first Artemis lunar landing?
Manifold MarketsHuman moon landing in 2026?
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PolymarketRegole
Resolves YES if Artemis lands on moon with boots on lunar surface before Chinese human boots on the lunar surface, AND Chinese do not land on lunar surface with human boots within 2 years OR immediately totally shift focus to another solar body for astronaut landings.
- Resolves NO if Chinese put human boots on the moon before Artemis OR within 2 years of Artemis human lunar landing Chinese replicate the feat.
- Market will be extended as necessary but resolves once clarity.
- Sources will be official communications of the relevant national space agencies or eminently reliable reporting.
