Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati della fonte degradati
Dati al 26 ott 2026, 04:02 UTC · criterio pm-quality-4
Previsione della comunità attuale
No 79.7%
Previsori
18
Tipo di domanda
binary
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 ore fa
Obsoleto6 dic 25, 20:08 UTC31 dic 27, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What happens first: AI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes or All Millennium Prize Problems Solved?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2028?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2029?
Manifold MarketsAI beats Minecraft (RSG) in under 10 minutes before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill any game at Worlds 2026 last 50 minutes or more?
PolymarketWhich AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
KalshiRegole
Resolves the same as @/Bayesian/ai-beats-minecraft-rsg-in-under-10-z56AZNtIyL except with a different cutoff.
- At present only one human has attained this goal, though another proved it doable in 6:17.
