Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoPrevisione della comunità attualeKamala Harris 74.3%In testa tra 5 esiti
Previsori
13
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 6 ore fa
Obsoleto20 dic 25, 15:36 UTC31 dic 26, 23:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
If this person wins the 2026 Texas Senate seat Democratic primary, will they become Senator?
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KalshiRegole
This market will resolve YES to the candidate leading on December 31st, 2026 in Race To The WH's average of reputable national polls for the 2028 Democratic presidential primary.
- If this source is no longer maintained, I will fall back to Silver Bulletin (if available yet) or RealClearPolitics, in that order of preference.
- Feel free to add additional answers if you disagree with the default four options presented!