Manifold MarketsSenza KYCDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoPrevisione della comunità attuale
not before 2030 36.1%In testa tra 6 esiti
Previsori
5
Tipo di domanda
multiple choice
Metodologia
Play-money forecasting platform
Tipo di fonte
Previsione
Variazione 7g
0.0 pts
Dati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 ore fa
Obsoleto19 mag 24, 23:35 UTC2 gen 30, 07:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
By what year will a car have driven between New York and San Francisco without anyone in the drivers seat?
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KalshiSan Francisco vs Los Angeles R: Touchdowns
KalshiSan Francisco vs Los Angeles: Spread
KalshiRegole
Completed means structure at 130 Townsend is larger than existing structure there and is open for leasing or occupied.
- A five story office project was approved in 2021.
- As of https://sfyimby.com/2024/05/extension-request-for-130-townsend-street-in-soma-san-francisco.html the developer hopes to extend the approval by 3 years.
- Updates will likely appear at https://sfyimby.com/category/130-townsend-street
- [link preview]
Mercati aperti
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+1.0pt94%
- $50M+3.0pt89%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 482,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 422,4K €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 7 - September 9, 2026?
- 40-64+18.0pt76.8%
- 65-89-3.5pt22.2%
- 90-114-3.3pt1%
+7 altri esiti
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA78.2%
- Apple+0.1pt13.9%
- Alphabet6.9%
+5 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 6 Mln €
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 8 - September 15, 2026?
- 180-199-1.0pt17.1%
- 200-219-1.0pt16.2%
- 160-179+2.0pt15.2%
+23 altri esiti
KALSHIIllinois nuclear electricity generation in 2026
- Above 87.5 TWh97%
- Above 90.0 TWh+1.0pt96%
- Above 92.5 TWh+3.0pt95%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 113,7K €
KALSHIWashington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
- Above 80,000 jobs98%
- Above 81,000 jobs95%
- Above 82,000 jobs+3.0pt92%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,6K €
- Boeing commercial airplane deliveries in 2026
- Elon Musk # tweets September 11 - September 18, 2026?
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Largest Company end of September?
- 3rd Largest Company end of September?
- Predict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- First to hit $1B FDV: ANSEM, CASHCAT, AI, or NET?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed?
- Manifold Markets quota not before 2030 al 36% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed?
- 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed dovrebbe risolversi il 2 gennaio 2030.
- Come viene liquidato 130 Townsend, San Francisco 94107 redevelopment completed?
- Manifold Markets liquida questo mercato come segue: Completed means structure at 130 Townsend is larger than existing structure there and is open for leasing or occupied.