KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Before 2030 21%In testa tra 4 esiti
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
21,6K €
Alta liquiditàSpread
2.9 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 10 minuti fa
6 gen 26, 15:00 UTC1 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Will Xi Jinping visit US by which date?
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Manifold MarketsRegole
If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:The Guardianlocal news outlets with verifiable mastheads in TaiwanXi Jinpingofficial government sources of Taiwanofficial representatives or offices of Xi JinpingThe New York Timesthe Associated PressReutersPoliticoSemaforThe InformationThe Washington PostThe Wall Street JournalCNNFox NewsMSNBCCNBC
- Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required.
- Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit.
- International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction.
- A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.
- If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
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- Yes-0.2pt4%
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan??
- Kalshi quota Before 2030 al 21% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan??
- When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan? dovrebbe risolversi il 1 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato When will Xi Jinping visit Taiwan??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If Xi Jinping has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Taiwan before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.