KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Trump (5+ times) (99%)
Risolto: 15 set 2026, 23:57
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Probabilità implicita attuale
Trump (5+ times) 99%In testa tra 17 esiti
Qualità del mercato
39 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
115K €
Liquidità
80,3K €
Alta liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 giorni fa
Obsoleto15 set 26, 17:30 UTC16 set 26, 15:22 UTC
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Emmy / Emmys9%
Fed / Federal Reserve / Interest Rate60%
Diesel58%
Inflation88%
Saudi66%
Yemen / Yemeni / Houthi95%
Trump (5+ times)88%
OpenAI91%
Oil / Gas / Gasoline72%
Supreme Court88%
Hoax61%
AI / Artificial Intelligence79%
Kash / Patel88%
Kennedy79%
Anthropic / Claude60%
Iran (3+ times)61%
Space0%
99%
99%
99%
99%
99%
9%
4%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
If any host or reporter says Trump (5+ times) as part of ABC World News Tonight with David Muir , then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:ABCFox NewsMSNBCThe Wall Street JournalSemaforThe InformationCBSAxiosCNNReutersThe New York TimesThe Washington Postthe Associated PressPolitico
- Video of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the ABC World News Tonight with David Muir will be used.
- Payout Criterion: The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Plural nouns occurring within proper nouns and noun phrases (e.g. names, titles, etc) are included.
- For the purpose of this market, the live broadcast or stream will be used to resolve this event.
