KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
At least 56% 96%In testa tra 9 esiti
Qualità del mercato
33 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
1K €
Liquidità
1K €
Bassa liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 5 minuti fa
11 set 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 14:00 UTC
Trend
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Georgia Senate election: Mike Collins vote percent (1st Round)
KalshiTexas Senate election: Ken Paxton vote percent
KalshiTexas Senate election: Ted Brown vote percent
KalshiCA-43 House election: Maxine Waters vote percent
KalshiMinnesota Governor election: Amy Klobuchar vote percent
KalshiOK-05 House election: Jena Nelson vote percent
KalshiRegole
If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sarah McBride in the 2026 DE-AL House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Office of the State Election Commissioner, Dover, DE
- The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by Sarah McBride ÷ total valid votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places.
- Except as provided in the Contract, resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results.
- Write-in votes are included if they appear in certified results.
- Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from both numerator and denominator.
- If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sarah McBride in the 2026 DE-AL House election is 58% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Politics
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+13.8pt95%
- Yes-13.8pt5%
- Volume totale
- 18 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 2,9 Mln €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)-2.0pt75.3%
- New People (NL)+1.9pt20.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt2%
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.4pt19%
- Gavin Newsom+4.5pt17%
- Jon Ossoff-0.9pt16%
+48 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt13%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 189,4 Mln €
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+1.2pt36.7%
- Édouard Philippe-1.0pt26.5%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon+0.5pt12.2%
+38 altri esiti
POLYMARKETWill the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?
- December 31+0.1pt4%
- April 300%
- June 300%
+3 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- Will the Clarity Act become law?
- Brazil Presidential Election
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Presidential Election Winner 2028
- Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- 2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- New Hampshire Senate winner?
- Texas Senate winner?
- Which party will win the House in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent?
- Kalshi quota At least 56% al 96% al 16 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent?
- DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato DE-AL House election: Sarah McBride vote percent?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Sarah McBride in the 2026 DE-AL House election is 56% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes.