KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Above -0.5% 98%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualità del mercato
55 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,7K €
Liquidità
10,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
6.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
14 set 26, 19:00 UTC18 set 26, 13:59 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
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KalshiRegole
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
Si regola tramite:The Conference Board
- -0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States.
- This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for August 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the August 2026 LEI.
- The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels.
- Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
2 piattaforme quotano attualmente questo mercato. La probabilità di riferimento ponderata per la liquidità di CoinRithm per Above -0.5% è del 98%. Le quotazioni differiscono di circa 1 punto percentuale tra le piattaforme più distanti.
Riferimento CoinRithm Above -0.5% 98% · 2 piattaforme · 1 pt di scarto tra venue
Mercati aperti
Macro & EconomyKALSHI(Pyth Index.US30/USD) price on Sep 17, 2026 at 4pm EDT
- At least $50,97599%
- At least $51,05098%
- At least $51,12598%
+54 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 48,4K €
- Volume 24h
- 48,3K €
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-5.0pt45%
- 8,200 or above-4.4pt20%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
KALSHI30-year mortgage rate this week
- Above 6.80%+3.0pt99%
- Above 6.78%+1.0pt99%
- Above 6.77%+2.0pt99%
+18 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt73%
- Above $4.80+8.0pt64%
- Above $5.00+1.0pt41%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIS&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Yes98%
- No2%
- Volume totale
- 7,9K €
- Volume 24h
- 7,9K €
KALSHIBank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Maintains rate+1.0pt60.2%
- Hike 25bps+3.0pt34.3%
- Hike >25bps+3.0pt3.7%
+2 altri esiti
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Kalshi quota Above -0.5% al 98% al 17 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- US Leading Economic Index change in August dovrebbe risolversi il 18 settembre 2026.
- Come viene liquidato US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for August 2026 is above
- Dove altro è quotato US Leading Economic Index change in August?
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Limitless.