KalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoQuesto mercato si è risolto: Above -1.5% (96%)
Risolto: 21 ago 2026, 12:47
Risoluzione verificata dal provider
CoinRithm dispone di prove del provider sul vincitore e sul momento di regolamento di questo mercato.
Avviso sulla qualità dei datiDati obsoleti
Dati al 21 ago 2026, 05:50 UTC · criterio pm-quality-3
Probabilità implicita attuale
Above -1.5% 96%In testa tra 8 esiti
Qualita del mercato
19 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
532 €
Liquidità
1,8K €
Bassa liquiditàDati di mercato
Aggiornato 14 ore fa
Obsoleto24 lug 26, 20:4521 ago 26, 5:59
Cronologia delle Probabilità
Above 1.5%15%
Above 1.0%18%
Above -1.0%86%
Above 0.5%30%
Above 0.0%41%
96%
82%
41%
30%
18%
15%
7%
0%
Regole
If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Trading Economics
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Macro & EconomyKALSHIWill GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- No90%
- Yes+1.0pt10%
- Volume totale
- 2,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 18,6K €
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-6.0pt70.3%
- No Change+7.5pt29.7%
- 50+ bps cut-0.5pt0%
+2 altri esiti
KALSHIFear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026?
- Neutral+48.0pt95.2%
- Greed-13.0pt1.9%
- Extreme Greed-1.0pt1%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 25,3K €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60-1.0pt49%
- Above $4.80+16.0pt49%
- Above $5.00-1.0pt29%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above+5.6pt65%
- 8,200 or above+2.8pt37%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 917,5K €
KALSHIWhich companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Oracle+8.0pt99%
- TikTok98%
- Amazon-6.0pt92%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 43,7K €
- What will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- How low will the S&P get this year?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per UK retail sales in July?
- Kalshi quota Above -1.5% al 96% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve UK retail sales in July?
- UK retail sales in July dovrebbe risolversi il 21 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato UK retail sales in July?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the United Kingdom retail sales MoM for July 2026 is above -1.5%, then the market resolves to Yes.