KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Greed 73.8%+35.0ptIn testa tra 5 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualita del mercato
57 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
6,7K €
Liquidità
13,2K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
8.0 pt
Spread ampioDati di mercato
Aggiornato 28 minuti fa
27 lug 26, 14:0128 ago 26, 20:00
Trend
Regole
If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:CNN Fear & Greed Index
- If no update is made after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 for one week, then the last available value will be used.
- If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is Fear, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is Neutral, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is Greed, then the market resolves to Yes.
Mercati aperti
Macro & Economy
POLYMARKETBank of Korea decision in August?
- 25 bps hike-3.0pt72.3%
- No Change+5.5pt27.7%
- 50+ bps cut0%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 47,5K €
- Volume 24h
- 8,4K €
KALSHIHow low will the S&P get this year?
- 6,300 or below+6.0pt23%
- 6,200 or below+3.0pt23%
- 6,100 or below15%
+2 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 687,1K €
KALSHIHow high will the S&P get this year?
- 7,800 or above99%
- 8,000 or above-0.4pt64%
- 8,200 or above-2.2pt36%
+4 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 915,3K €
KALSHIWhat will Kevin Warsh say during his Jackson Hole remarks?
- Productivity74%
- AI / Artificial Intelligence-9.0pt70%
- Independent / Independence70%
+17 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 39K €
KALSHIHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
- Above $4.60+2.0pt46%
- Above $4.80+7.0pt40%
- Above $5.0028%
+10 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 1,1 Mln €
KALSHIWhich companies will conduct layoffs this year?
- Oracle+8.0pt99%
- TikTok98%
- Amazon-6.0pt92%
+6 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 41,5K €
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- ISM Services PMI - August 2026
- University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
- TSA avg check-ins from Aug 17 to 23, 2026?
- Bank of Canada decision in Oct 2026?
- Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
- What will the median home value in the Austin Metro area be on September 30?
- US electricity price in August
- What will the median home value in New York City be on September 30?
- What will the median home value in the DC Metro area be on September 30?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026??
- Kalshi quota Greed al 74% al 21 agosto 2026.
- Quando si risolve Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026??
- Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026? dovrebbe risolversi il 28 agosto 2026.
- Come viene liquidato Fear & Greed Index on Aug 21, 2026??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the first value update after 4:00 PM ET on Aug 21, 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.