KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
12 21.6%In testa tra 8 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
≤49 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
18,9K €
Liquidità mediaSpread
1.6 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 9 minuti fa
1 feb 26, 21:00 UTC3 gen 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRegole
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:the State of Texas
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
Confronto tra fonti di previsione
Mercati aperti
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
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- Volume 24h
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POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 altri esiti
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
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- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 altri esiti
- Volume totale
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POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
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- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 altri esiti
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- Kalshi quota 12 al 22% al 8 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? dovrebbe risolversi il 3 gennaio 2027.
- Come viene liquidato How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Dove altro è quotato How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas??
- La stessa domanda è quotata anche su Polymarket.