KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissioneDati di risoluzione verificatiDiscretamente calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
Republican Party 80.6%Corretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
Qualità del mercato
46 / 100
Bassa qualitàVolume 24h
—
Liquidità
1,4K €
Bassa liquiditàBid / Ask
78.0% / 83.0%
Spread
5.0 pt
Spread moderatoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 4 minuti fa
11 apr 26, 14:00 UTC3 nov 27, 15:00 UTC
Trend
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If the the named outcome wins the Texas House of Representatives in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:Texas House of Representatives
- If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No.
Mercati aperti
US Politics
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 605,6 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 693K €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 603,1 Mln €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 altri esiti
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 altri esiti
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 altri esiti
- Volume totale
- 54,7 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9K €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume totale
- 12,5 Mln €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7K €
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- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
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Domande frequenti
- Quali sono le probabilità attuali per Texas House of Representatives winner?
- Kalshi quota Republican Party al 81% al 9 settembre 2026.
- Quando si risolve Texas House of Representatives winner?
- Texas House of Representatives winner dovrebbe risolversi il 3 novembre 2027.
- Come viene liquidato Texas House of Representatives winner?
- Kalshi liquida questo mercato come segue: If the the named outcome wins the Texas House of Representatives in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.