KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38.6% 38.3%In testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
38.6% 38.3%Qualità del mercato
82 / 100
Alta qualitàVolume 24h
109,4K €
Open interest
87K €
Open interest altoSpread
1.0 pt
Spread strettoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 17 minuti fa
29 set 26, 14:01 UTC30 set 26, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictIt2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketWhat companies will Trump say in September?
KalshiRegole
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.