KalshiVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiestoDati di risoluzione verificatiBen calibratoProbabilità implicita attuale
38.2% 92.5%+23.0ptIn testa tra 9 esitiCorretto per il margine: le quote grezze sommavano oltre il 100% e sono state normalizzate.
38.2% 92.5%+23.0ptQualità del mercato
62 / 100
Qualità mediaVolume 24h
292,4K €
Open interest
162,8K €
Open interest altoDati di mercato
Aggiornato 22 minuti fa
2 ott 26, 14:01 UTC3 ott 26, 16:59 UTC
Trend
Condizioni della piattaforma
Fonte: Kalshi
Queste condizioni sono informative; il trading simulato di CoinRithm segue regole proprie.
- Chiusura anticipata:
- Sì
- Tempo di liquidazione:
- 30m (indicativo)
Mercati Correlati
Domande correlate per il contesto, non un confronto tra contratti equivalenti.
Regole
If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Si regola tramite:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
Regole per ogni esito
- 38.2%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.2% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.1%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.1% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Below 38.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is above 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.3%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.3% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.0%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.0% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.6%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.4%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.4% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 38.5%
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.5% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Oct 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.