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  1. Mercati Predittivi
  2. IA
  3. Top AI model this month
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

2.0% (24h)IA
KalshiKalshiChiusoVerifica disponibilitàKYC richiesto2% di commissione

Questo mercato si è risolto: claude-opus-4-6-thinking (99%)

Risolto: 31 mag 2026, 23:39

Esito Vincente

claude-opus-4-6-thinking

A 7 giorni

—

A 24 ore

96%

Consenso
Probabilità implicita attuale
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking 99%+2.0%
In testa tra 10 esiti
Qualita del mercato

48 / 100

Bassa qualità
Volume 24h

87,5 €

Liquidità

4,9K €

Liquidità media
Bid / Ask

- / 100.0%

Dati di mercato

Aggiornato 12 giorni fa

Obsoleto
30 apr 26, 17:0031 mag 26, 14:00

Cronologia delle Probabilità

claude-opus-4-6-thinking97%
claude-opus-4-61%
0%25%50%75%100%29 mag30 mag31 mag
Esito24hProbabilità
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
+2.0%
99%
claude-opus-4-6
claude-opus-4-6
-1.0%
1%
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
claude-opus-4-7-thinking
1%
gpt-5.5-high
gpt-5.5-high
1%
claude-opus-4-7
claude-opus-4-7
1%
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
gemini-3.1-pro-preview
1%

Questo mercato è chiuso. Il trading simulato è disponibile solo sui mercati aperti.

Regole

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Mercati Correlati

Top AI model this week

Top AI model this week

13,5 €
gemini-3.1-pro-preview: 1%KalshiKALSHI
Top AI model this month

Top AI model this month

0 €
claude-opus-4-6-thinking: 0%KalshiKALSHI
Which company has best AI model end of June?

Which company has best AI model end of June?

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What will be the best FrontierMath Tier 4 score by Dec 31, 2026?

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OpenAI IPO by...?

OpenAI IPO by...?

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Will an AI achieve >85% performance on the FrontierMath benchmark before 2028?

47,3K €
Sì: 97.1%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS

Attivi in questi argomenti

BitcoinBTC$64,067.77+0.36%EthereumETH$1,676.67+0.50%SolanaSOL$68.21+1.40%DogecoinDOGE$0.0878-0.08%BNBBNB$608.09+0.23%XRPXRP$1.15+1.21%

Notizie Correlate

Anthropic launches Claude Fable 5 with new safeguardsCrypto NewsEU orders Meta to restore WhatsApp access for rival AI chatbotsCrypto NewsJPMorgan plans longer-running AI agents for corporate workflows Crypto NewsOpenAI Files for IPO, Targets Valuation Up to $850BBlockchain.NewsOpenAI confidentially files to go public in the USCointelegraphNvidia expands South Korean AI partnerships across chips, cloud, and robotics Crypto News

Regole

If claude-opus-4-6-thinking is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If two models are tied under Rank (UB), then the model with the highest Arena Score will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, then the model with the most votes will win.
  • If two models are still tied after that, the model that was released earlier will win.
  • Important information: When checking the source for this market, check the 'Remove Style Control' toggle.
  • If claude-opus-4-6 is the top-ranked AI model on May 31, 2026 at 10:00 AM ET, then the market resolves to Yes.